Moody's: Default rate may exceed Great Depression

I think this article speaks for itself.

In what will be seen by many as die-cast confirmation that the world economy is plummeting towards an economic and corporate implosion of unprecedented proportions, Moody's said it anticipated a tidal wave of defaults was approaching.

It said that in the coming months more than 15pc of speculative-grade bonds and loans - all but the most highly-rated - would default on their debts.

This peak is even higher than the peak reached in 1933, when bank after bank throughout America was collapsing, taking hoards of other companies with them. Back then, the default rate peaked at 15.4pc; moreover these companies were former investment grade issuers regarded as more reliable credit prospects than their contemporary counterparts.
...
"There are risks here because we are in unchartered territory, but the model forecast is that roughly 15pc of our speculative-grade issuers globally will default in 2009. In Europe the forecast default rate is even higher at close to 19pc."

The report traced the health of the bond market all the way back to the 1920s, and finds that the threat of companies defaulting is more stark now than at any point in that stretch of time. It predicted that company defaults will triple this year to about 300, after 101 defaulted last year on more than $280bn of debt.

If the economy deteriorates by even more than expected, the default rate could conceivably mount to around 20pc, Moody's added - meaning around one in five of all non-investment grade issuers default, something which has never happened before.

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any back up analysis docs?

As far as I know Moody's has good methodology so this is pretty damn scary doomsday press release.

So is this on derivatives or actual underlying assets? Am I reading that right?

Do the credit rating companies

Have any credibility at this point? I mean these were the same guys that stamped AAA on crap and sold it to everybody.
I just wonder if this is more market negativity, sky is falling, or if it is real projected numbers backed up by hard data.

It has always been about class warfare.